Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.010406 0.012592 0.015337 0.019126 0.024360 3.157580e-02 0.042737
2024-10-13 0.007412 0.009694 0.012917 0.018047 0.026539 4.124916e-02 0.072293
2024-10-20 0.006052 0.008315 0.011769 0.017842 0.029376 5.361863e-02 0.123336
2024-10-27 0.005423 0.007777 0.011621 0.019045 0.035223 7.738749e-02 0.260923
2024-11-03 0.005007 0.007451 0.011690 0.020612 0.042899 1.166779e-01 0.699430
2024-11-10 0.004685 0.007198 0.011798 0.022287 0.052290 1.824142e-01 2.976175
2024-11-17 0.004252 0.006671 0.011257 0.022304 0.057166 2.459295e-01 18.084144
2024-11-24 0.003864 0.006162 0.010641 0.021920 0.060609 3.189653e-01 2920.431959
2024-12-01 0.003440 0.005530 0.009661 0.020300 0.058420 3.452124e-01 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003129 0.005077 0.008987 0.019322 0.058316 3.994776e-01 NaN
2024-12-15 0.002928 0.004809 0.008669 0.019249 0.062246 5.402196e-01 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002791 0.004651 0.008566 0.019774 0.069759 8.551449e-01 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002611 0.004411 0.008297 0.019907 0.076929 1.460287e+00 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002380 0.004049 0.007693 0.018815 0.076197 1.887110e+00 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002225 0.003824 0.007381 0.018600 0.081284 3.372220e+00 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002158 0.003773 0.007482 0.019877 0.100117 1.813929e+01 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002108 0.003754 0.007656 0.021542 0.128348 8.641638e+08 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002062 0.003733 0.007827 0.023325 0.167119 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.001960 0.003579 0.007607 0.023343 0.185099 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001855 0.003408 0.007315 0.022934 0.196495 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001722 0.003162 0.006779 0.021210 0.180340 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001619 0.002978 0.006404 0.020171 0.175777 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001551 0.002871 0.006238 0.020093 0.190747 NaN NaN